Pricing Show Down and the Margin Gap
Walk the deli counter at a Cincinnati-area Kroger right now and you will notice something missing. Boar's Head, a brand that has anchored premium deli programs for decades, has quietly vanished from case after case. Neither company will say why on the record. Scroll a few aisles over to the cooler and you will hear a similar story about Red Bull, which has reportedly been disappearing from Kroger banner shelves in multiple markets. Industry reporters have been chasing both stories for weeks, and the working theory in each case is the same: a pricing standoff between Kroger and the manufacturer.
Suppliers watching this play out are asking a fair question. If Kroger is willing to pull two major national brands off the shelf over a cost increase, what does that mean for the rest of us? The honest answer starts with a number most people in this industry have never actually looked up: what does Kroger keep on every dollar of product it sells, compared to what the supplier keeps on the same dollar?
The gap is bigger than most suppliers assume, and it explains a lot about why these standoffs happen, why Kroger holds the line publicly, and why the retailer ends up looking like the villain in a fight it did not start.
The Numbers, Side by Side
Gross profit percent is the cleanest apples-to-apples comparison here. It is simply revenue minus the cost of the goods sold, expressed as a percentage of revenue. It does not yet account for overhead, labor, marketing, or rent. It is the starting margin before any of those other costs get paid, and it is the number that shows most clearly how much room each side of the supply chain actually has.
Follow that number all the way to the bottom line and the gap gets even more stark. After overhead, labor, marketing, interest, and taxes are paid, Kroger's net profit margin typically lands under 2 percent, closer to 1.5 to 1.8 percent in a normal year. Its most recent fiscal year actually came in even lower than that, under 1 percent on a reported basis, dragged down by one-time impairment charges, though the adjusted figure the company points investors to runs closer to 2 percent. The manufacturers finish the year in a very different place. P&G's net margin runs around 19 percent. General Mills lands around 12 percent. Even Mondelez, coming off its roughest cocoa-driven year in a decade, still finished around 6 percent. Gross margin shows how much room each side starts with. Net margin shows how much is actually left once everyone else has been paid, and on that measure, Kroger is not just thinner than its suppliers, it is in a different league entirely.
| Company | Gross Profit % | Fiscal Period |
| Procter & Gamble | 51.2% | FY2025 (ended June 2025) |
| General Mills | 34.6% | FY2025 (ended May 2025) |
| Mondelez International | 28.4% | FY2025 (ended Dec. 2025) |
| Kroger | 22.9% | FY2025 (ended Jan./Feb. 2026) |
Fiscal years do not line up perfectly across these four companies, so treat this as directionally accurate rather than a single-quarter snapshot. But the pattern holds no matter which recent period you pull. P&G, with its concentration in Beauty, Grooming, and Health Care, plus decades of pricing power on category-leading brands, runs a gross margin north of 50 percent. General Mills, selling center-of-store staples with heavier commodity exposure, runs in the mid-30s. Mondelez, which took a brutal cocoa cost spike through 2025, still finished the year in the high 20s even after that hit. Kroger, selling nearly everything in the store at competitive shelf prices, runs in the low 20s.
That is not a rounding difference. It is a structurally different business. A CPG manufacturer sells a relatively small number of SKUs, owns the brand equity behind them, and prices with real pricing power. A grocery retailer sells tens of thousands of SKUs across every category in the store, most of them highly price-visible to a shopper standing in the aisle with a phone in hand, and it competes on the total basket, not the individual item.
Why the Gap Exists, and Why It Is Not Going Away
- Manufacturers price for margin. A branded CPG company sets its price to protect a target gross margin, and when input costs rise, the standard playbook is to pass the increase along the chain. That is not a moral failing. It is how the model is built to work.
- Retailers price for the shopper's total trip. Kroger cannot simply pass through every cost increase on every item without changing the price the shopper sees on the shelf, and the shopper sees far more of Kroger's pricing decisions than they ever see of a manufacturer's cost structure.
- The retailer absorbs the visibility. When a manufacturer raises its price to Kroger, the manufacturer's name is nowhere on the shelf tag. The only name the shopper sees is Kroger's. The cost increase becomes Kroger's price increase in the shopper's mind, whether that is fair or not.
- Thin margins mean less room to eat an increase quietly. A retailer running low-20s gross margin has far less room to simply absorb a supplier's cost increase without a price action than a manufacturer running mid-30s to 50-plus percent.
The Boar's Head and Red Bull Standoff
This is the backdrop against which the current disputes are playing out. Boar's Head products have been reported missing from Kroger deli cases in the Cincinnati market and other Tri-State locations, with no official explanation from either company. Industry observers and local reporting point to a pricing disagreement as the likely cause, and some accounts suggest Kroger is leaning on its own Private Selection line to fill the gap in the meantime.
Red Bull is reportedly facing a similar standoff. Trade press coverage describes Red Bull pushing a company-wide price increase across all of its retail customers, and Kroger is declining to accept it on the same terms, resulting in the brand thinning out or disappearing from some Kroger shelves.
Neither company has laid out the full story publicly, and CPG Edge will update this post if that changes. But the shape of both disputes fits the margin math above almost exactly. A manufacturer facing a real cost increase, commodity, packaging, freight, labor, passes it along as company policy. Kroger, operating on a fraction of that manufacturer's margin cushion, pushes back rather than passing the full increase to shoppers, especially right now.
Why Right Now, Specifically
Timing matters here. Kroger's leadership has been publicly explicit about wanting to close the price gap with Walmart, Costco, Aldi, and Trader Joe's. CEO Greg Foran has described the company as stuck in the "midfield" of grocery pricing and has said the basket has to come down, with price cuts planned across thousands of items funded by sourcing improvements, tighter supply chain costs, and reinvested savings.
That affordability push is a company-wide bet, and every cost increase a manufacturer asks Kroger to accept works directly against it. A vendor cost increase that would have been a routine negotiation in a normal year becomes a much harder conversation when the retailer has told Wall Street, and its shoppers, that it is trying to close a double-digit price gap with the value leaders in the channel.
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THE BOTH-SIDES-NEED-EACH-OTHER REALITY None of this makes Kroger the villain or the manufacturer the villain. Kroger needs Boar's Head and Red Bull on the shelf because shoppers expect them there. Boar's Head and Red Bull need Kroger's shelf space because it reaches millions of households every week. The standoff is not a sign the relationship is broken. It is a sign both sides are negotiating from very different starting margins, in public, at a moment when Kroger has the least room and the most incentive to hold the line. |
What Every Kroger Supplier Should Take From This
- Know Kroger's margin math before you ask for an increase. A request that looks routine from the manufacturer's side of a 30 to 50 percent gross margin can look very different from the retailer's side of a low-20s margin, especially during an affordability push.
- Bring the documentation, not just the ask. Commodity indices, freight data, and a clear breakdown of what is driving the increase give your Category Manager something concrete to take upstairs. A vague across-the-board increase invites exactly the kind of public standoff Boar's Head and Red Bull are living through right now.
- Time it, and phase it, where you can. A single large increase lands harder than a smaller, well-telegraphed increase with lead time. Kroger's own advance-notice expectations on price file changes exist for a reason.
- Understand that delisting risk is real and current. Kroger has shown in the last few weeks that it is willing to let a national brand go dark on shelf rather than accept an increase it believes works against its pricing strategy. That is a different environment than it was even a year ago.
- Use the relationship, not just the price file. The suppliers most likely to work through a cost increase without a public standoff are the ones with an open, ongoing conversation with their Category Manager well before the increase becomes urgent.
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THE BOTTOM LINE Procter & Gamble: roughly 51 cents of gross profit per dollar of sales. General Mills: roughly 35 cents. Mondelez: roughly 28 cents, even after absorbing a historic cocoa cost spike. Kroger: roughly 23 cents, and shrinking further every time it funds a price cut. When cost increases meet that gap in public, on a shelf, the retailer ends up looking like the bad guy. The math says otherwise. |
The Boar's Head and Red Bull situations are still developing, and the terms both sides eventually land on will say a lot about where Kroger draws the line for the rest of its supplier base heading into 2027 planning. For now, the lesson for every brand at Kroger is the same one that runs through this entire publication: understand the retailer's numbers before you negotiate against them.
From Cincinnati CPG Edge, keeping you in the Kroger know.
Further Reading
- Where did the Boar's Head go? Deli brand, Kroger won't say — Cincinnati Enquirer (via Yahoo News)
- CPG Week Podcast: "Where Did All Of Kroger's Red Bull Go?" — BevNET/Nosh
- Kroger Plots Price Cuts to Take on Competitors — Progressive Grocer
- Kroger Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results — PR Newswire / Kroger IR
- P&G Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Results — P&G Investor Relations
- General Mills Reports Fiscal 2025 Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year Results — General Mills IR
- Mondelez International Reports Q4 and FY 2025 Results — Mondelez IR
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